Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
City of York

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Hugh Bayley
Conservative Party:
Michael McIntyre
Liberal Democratic Party:
Andrew M. Waller
Green Party:
William Shaw
Monster Raving Loony Party:
Edward Vee

Incumbent:
Hugh Bayley

97 Result:
Hugh Bayley
34,95659.9%
Simon Mallett
14,43324.7%
Andrew Waller
6,53711.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,34573.50%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
31,52549.1%
25,18339.2%
6,81110.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
64,16781.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.4%
16-2413.6%
25-3922.7%
40-6524.7%
65 <20.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.9%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time62.8%
Part Time19.1%
Self Employed9.0%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed8.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.0%
II - Managerial/Technical29.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.9%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.3%
IV - Partly Skilled16.0%
V - Unskilled7.0%

Misc:
Own Residence64.7%
Rent Residence33.6%
Own Car(s)56.9%
Submissions
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18/04/01 CM Email:
Although Labour won this seat massively last time, it was Tory as recently as 1992 and the Conservative candidate, Michael McIntyre has been campaigning hard. The Lib Dems are strong in local government and are likely to pull many Labour votes away. Could be closer than many think.

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Last Updated 26 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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