Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Sheffield, Hillsborough

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Helen J. Jackson
Conservative Party:
Graham King
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Commons

Incumbent:
Helen Jackson

97 Result:
Helen Jackson
30,15056.9%
David Nuttall
7,70714.5%
Arthur Dunworth
13,69925.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,02471.04%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
27,56346.2%
11,64019.5%
20,50034.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,70377.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.6%
16-2412.9%
25-3922.4%
40-6528.5%
65 <18.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.0%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time62.3%
Part Time18.2%
Self Employed9.8%
Government Schemes1.7%
Unemployed8.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.2%
II - Managerial/Technical27.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)33.4%
IV - Partly Skilled13.5%
V - Unskilled4.5%

Misc:
Own Residence71.8%
Rent Residence27.1%
Own Car(s)65.9%
Submissions
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24/04/01 NG Email:
With a massive 16,000 majority, it would be a bit of a shock if Labour didn't hold Sheffield Heeley this time. However it will be interesting to see what happens to the Lib Dems. The Tories have not had much luck here recently and things have not really picked up for them at local elections. The Lib Dems, meanwhile, have been pretty successful, winning control of Sheffield Ciy Council, and it will be interesting to see whether they manage to consolidate their good second-placing last time (their vote fell in 1997 but they will look in hope back to the days of 1992 when they were just 7,000 votes behind Labour). The Lib Dems will be particularly buoyed up by local election results here over the last few years which in theory would have seen the seat won by the Lib Dems. That's very unlikely this time, but it will be interesting to see if they can consolidate their position.

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Last Updated 24 April 2001
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