Election Profile:
Candidates:
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Labour Party:
John O. Jones |
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Conservative Party:
Gregory Walker |
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Liberal Democratic Party:
Jennifer Willott |
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Plaid Cymru:
Richard Grigg |
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Green Party:
Stephen Bartley |
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UK Independence Party:
Frank Hughes |
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Socialist Alliance:
Julian Goss |
Incumbent: |
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Jon Owen Jones |
97 Result: |
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Jon Owen Jones
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David Melding
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Jenny Randerson
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Wayne Vernon
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| Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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92 Result: (Redistributed) |
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| Total Vote Count / Turnout |
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Demographic Profile:
| Age: |
| < 16 | 19.5% |
| 16-24 | 17.1% |
| 25-39 | 23.9% |
| 40-65 | 23.6% |
| 65 < | 15.9% |
Ethnic Origin: |
| White | 91.9% |
| Black | 1.7% |
| Indian/Pakistani | 3.8% |
| Other non-white | 2.5% |
Employment: |
| Full Time | 62.3% |
| Part Time | 15.4% |
| Self Employed | 9.4% |
| Government Schemes | 1.6% |
| Unemployed | 11.3% |
Household SEG: |
| I - Professional | 11.4% |
| II - Managerial/Technical | 33.4% |
| III - Skilled (non-manual) | 16.4% |
| IIIM - Skilled (manual) | 21.3% |
| IV - Partly Skilled | 10.0% |
| V - Unskilled | 3.9% |
Misc: |
| Own Residence | 68.5% |
| Rent Residence | 30.4% |
| Own Car(s) | 63.1% |
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Submissions
Submit Information here
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20/04/01 |
NG |
Email: |
| Cardiff Central is the smallest, most urban of all Welsh constituencies and has the highest student vote in Wales. All of this will come into play when deciding the next MP. The Lib Dems have long cherished hopes of grabbing this seat and in 1997 a Tory meltdown in Wales put the Lib Dems in second place to Labour. Since then they have been working furiously to wrest control from Owen Jones. The Lib Dems have done very well in local council elections and, most importantly of all, they actually won this seat from Labour in the Assembly elections of 1999. There's no guarantee that the Lib Dems will do quite that well this time round, but it's clear that the Tories have now fallen by the wayside here and that it's going to be a pretty close fight between the Lib Dems and Labour. |
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21/04/01 |
JR |
Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net |
| This was a Tory seat until it was won by Jon Owen Jones for Labour in 1992. However, since then the LibDems have been on the rise. They beat the Tories for second place in 1997, and won by about 4000 in the 1999 Assembly election. I gather they are targeting it as a gain this time round but I don't think they'll manage. The 99 result was probably a product of midterm protest vote and the row over the leadership of Alun Michael that meant Labour did badly across Wales. |
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01/05/01 |
PDR |
Email: |
| This one will be tighter than many people think. The victory in 1999 will provide a strong base for the liberal democrats and despite a strong challenge from both Lab and Con they held the council seat when the AM stood down on becoming a minister. They also hold most of the Council seats so are in a good position to squeeze the conservative vote. Result may be down to a few hundred votes either way this time |
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02/05/01 |
Smithy |
Email:smithy@come-on-england.co.uk |
| Despite my email address I am a regular visitor to Cardiff. I have spotted the excellent Lib Dem literature and feel that Labour have had it in Cardiff Central. A strong Lib Dem campaign shoul secure them another win in this seat if enough Tory voters don't waste their votes. |
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03/05/01 |
Pete |
Email:warposters@yahoo.com |
| I read last week in the local paper, that the Cardiff Central seat is one of the top ten seats that are expected to fall from Labour's grasp. As a constituency, Cardiff Central encompasses a large proportion of students. On 1st March, the NUS organised a national shutdown day, in protest at tuition fees. This was very high profile. However, only Miss Willott was present to support the students. The current labour MP was not present. In such a marginal seat, students will not be coming out to vote for a labour party who introduced these fees. Instead, it is more likely that they will flood to the polling booths in favour of sensible policies that will not increase student hardship, rather than policies which caused the recent shutdown of British Universities. |
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31/05/01 |
A.S. |
Email:adma@interlog.com |
| How fascinatingly Islingtonian, for LD to rise rather proudly from Tory ashes as Cardiff Centre's opposition party of record. (And JOJ's vote only increased by less than a couple of %'s in '97.). It's a sleeper, all right--but not, at this point, a victory. Have faith, Lib Dems; it took your party several elections to hit upon the 50-seat formula in '97... |
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06/06/01 |
JL |
Email: |
| Talk of the student vote here might be relevant if the election had taken place in May. I don't know the constituency, but I would be surprised if more than a quarter of the student vote turns out tomorrow. In my own area that'll certainly be the case. |
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