Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Yeovil

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
P. Joseph A. Conway
Conservative Party:
Marco Forgione
Liberal Democratic Party:
David A. Laws
Green Party:
Alexander Begg
UK Independence Party:
Neil Boxall
Liberal Party:
Anthony Prior

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Paddy Ashdown KBE

97 Result:
Patrick Conway
8,05314.9%
Nicholas Camrook
14,94627.7%
Paddy Ashdown
26,34948.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,05372.88%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,7029.6%
21,89036.9%
30,63451.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,27181.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.1%
16-2412.2%
25-3920.2%
40-6526.9%
65 <21.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.4%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time60.8%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed13.7%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed7.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.8%
II - Managerial/Technical27.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)28.7%
IV - Partly Skilled15.3%
V - Unskilled4.2%

Misc:
Own Residence70.8%
Rent Residence26.7%
Own Car(s)77.4%
Submissions
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18/04/01 NG Email:
The Liberal Democrats do not have a good track record for holding seats when incumbent MPs retire. However, David Laws is a strong candidate who has been doing the rounds accompanied by outgoing MP, Sir Paddy Ashdown, for almost three years. Despite a poor showing in the Europeans, Ashdown's big majority and the party's local strength should ensure that Yeovil is a Lib Dem Hold on the night.

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Last Updated 18 April 2001
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