Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
South East Cornwall

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Bill Stevens
Conservative Party:
Ashley Gray
Liberal Democratic Party:
Colin E. Breed
UK Independence Party:
Graham Palmer

Incumbent:
Colin Breed

97 Result:
Dorothy Kirk
7,35812.8%
Warwick Lightfoot
20,56435.8%
Colin Breed
27,04447.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,43275.74%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,5369.2%
30,56551.0%
22,86138.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,98881.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.0%
16-2410.7%
25-3919.4%
40-6528.5%
65 <21.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.6%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.0%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time52.4%
Part Time17.4%
Self Employed20.0%
Government Schemes1.7%
Unemployed8.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.3%
II - Managerial/Technical29.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.6%
IV - Partly Skilled12.9%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence75.8%
Rent Residence21.9%
Own Car(s)78.0%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
Of his Lib Dem colleagues in the South West, Colin Breed should be one of the safer in his seat this time round. With a reasonably comfortable 7,000 majority and a strong Lib Dem presence locally, he should be able to resist even a moderate swing back to the Tories.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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