Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Mid Dorset and North Poole

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
James Selby-Bennett
Conservative Party:
Christopher J. Fraser
Liberal Democratic Party:
Annette Brooke

Incumbent:
Christopher Fraser

97 Result:
David Collis
8,01415.8%
Christopher Fraser
20,63240.7%
Alan Leaman
19,95139.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,73375.67%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,95911.9%
24,99950.1%
18,94538.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,90377.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.4%
16-2411.9%
25-3921.8%
40-6527.7%
65 <18.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.3%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.5%

Employment:
Full Time63.0%
Part Time17.3%
Self Employed12.4%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed6.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.2%
II - Managerial/Technical32.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)27.7%
IV - Partly Skilled13.4%
V - Unskilled3.9%

Misc:
Own Residence82.9%
Rent Residence15.7%
Own Car(s)84.3%
Submissions
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29/04/01 Malcolm Barnes Email:
A very close Lib-Dem/Tory contest, with plenty of Labour votes to pinch! Billy Brag has a website devoted to booting out Tories in Dorset an the Lib-Dems should do it.
29/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
Radio 4's 'World at One' recently did an article on that hoary old chestnut of Lib-Lab cooperation. They suggested that a deal had been done so that the LibDems would run a paper candidate in South Dorset (where Labour are hot on the heels of the Tories) in return for Labour not putting any effort in here, where the LibDems are just 682 votes behind the Tories. Prominent local resident Billy Bragg (a former rock singer of socialist inclination) has announced he will be voting LibDem tactically to defeat the Tories. At present Dorset has an all-Tory delegation in the House (the only other county represented by a full slate of Tories is Surrey). However all that should change come June 7.
03/05/01 J.F. Breton Email:
With all the problems of the Tories, I think it will be a LD gain. There is a very important support of LD in the south. LD will have many gains in this region.
20/05/01 L. Coghlin Email:
If the vote splits between Lib-Dems and Labour see the Tories hang on to this one. The length of Hague's coattails will also be a big factor.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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