Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Gloucester

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Parmjit Dhanda
Conservative Party:
Paul James
Liberal Democratic Party:
Timothy Bullamore
UK Independence Party:
Terence Lines

Incumbent:
Ms Tess Kingham

97 Result:
Tess Kingham
28,94350.0%
Douglas French
20,68435.7%
Peter Munisamy
6,06910.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,91473.61%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
22,86736.8%
28,27445.5%
10,96117.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
62,10281.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.1%
16-2413.2%
25-3923.3%
40-6525.0%
65 <17.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White94.3%
Black2.7%
Indian/Pakistani1.9%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time66.3%
Part Time16.5%
Self Employed8.1%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed8.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.5%
II - Managerial/Technical27.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.8%
IV - Partly Skilled17.8%
V - Unskilled5.0%

Misc:
Own Residence75.9%
Rent Residence22.7%
Own Car(s)70.7%
Submissions
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30/04/01 JR Email:
Tess Kingham has surprisingly decided to stand down after just one term. Labour therefore forfeit any personal vote (usually highest after an enthusiastic new MP's first term). However, this place always goes with the national tide (in 1997 it was number 75 out of 75 on Labour's target list, making it the seat that would have pushed them over the top in the Commons). With the Tories going nowhere fast, that means Parmjit Dhanda should be the next MP for this seat.

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Last Updated 1 May 2001
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