Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bristol East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Jean A. Corston
Conservative Party:
Jack Lo Presti
Liberal Democratic Party:
Brian G. Niblett
Green Party:
Geoffrey Collard

Incumbent:
Ms Jean Corston

97 Result:
Jean Corston
27,41856.9%
Eddie Vaizey
11,25923.4%
Peter Tyzack
7,12114.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,20169.87%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,75447.3%
20,47237.6%
8,02514.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,50278.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.3%
16-2412.8%
25-3924.0%
40-6524.0%
65 <19.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White92.0%
Black3.9%
Indian/Pakistani3.0%
Other non-white1.1%

Employment:
Full Time63.9%
Part Time15.3%
Self Employed9.2%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed10.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.2%
II - Managerial/Technical25.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.7%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)28.8%
IV - Partly Skilled16.6%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence68.3%
Rent Residence30.7%
Own Car(s)64.0%
Submissions
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02/05/01 Robin Email:robin_moss_@hotmail.com
Labour will hold easily, if BEast goes tory then they will win the GE easily. It was last won by tories in 1987, and since then has had two Labour wards added, one (St George West) about the safest in the city.
22/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Pretty safe Labour stuff now--and redistribution helps--but Bristol E is haunted in Labour lore as the place where Tony Benn met his electoral comeuppance in '83. (Corston trounced Benn's successor, Jonathan Sayeed, in '92; Sayeed's since decamped for the safe Tory electoral wilds of Mid Bedfordshire.)

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Last Updated 23 May 2001
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