Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Kevin J. Hutchens
 Conservative Party:
Thomas Kerr
 Liberal Democratic Party:
Sir Robert H. Smith, Bt.
 Scottish Nationalist Party:
John Green
Scottish Socialist Party:

Incumbent:
 Sir Robert Smith

97 Result:
 Quaisra Khan
3,9239.1%
 George Kynoch
15,08034.9%
 Robert Smith
17,74241.1%
 Joy Mowatt
563913.06%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,18973.05%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
2,8866.8%
19,12345.1%
14,68634.7%
5,28012.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
42,35676.9%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed3.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.9%
II - Managerial/Technical31.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)20.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)20.4%
IV - Partly Skilled13.8%
V - Unskilled5.6%

Misc:
Own Residence65.3%
Rent Residence34.7%
Submissions
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30/04/01 J D Stewart Email:
On the face of it a taditionally Tory seat, that has returned Liberal democrats at both Westminster and Scottish Parliament elections last time out. The choice of a Central Belt Councillor by the Conservatives should give a narrow win to the Liberal Democrats. Labour and the SNP are pernially third and fourth and are out of the race.
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Last Updated 30 April 2001
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