Election Prediction Project
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British General Election
Hamilton South

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Bill Tynan
Conservative Party:
Neil Richardson
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Oswald
Scottish Nationalist Party:
John Wilson
Scottish Socialist Party:
Gena Mitchell

Incumbent:
Bill Tynan

97 Result:
George Robertson
21,70965.6%
Robert Kilgour
2,8588.6%
Richard Pitts
1,6935.1%
Ian Black
583117.62%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
33,09171.07%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
19,81657.0%
5,59616.1%
2,3086.6%
7,07420.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
34,79474.3%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed14.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.2%
II - Managerial/Technical23.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)25.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.3%
IV - Partly Skilled16.2%
V - Unskilled7.1%

Misc:
Own Residence45.4%
Rent Residence54.6%
Submissions
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02/05/01 JR Email:
Labour had the political equivalent of a near-death experience in the September 1999 byelection caused by the resignation of George Robertson to become Secretary General of NATO. SNP candidate Annabelle Ewing (daughter of Winnie Ewing, who won this seat in a 1967 byelection) managed a 23% swing and came within 500 votes of Labour's Bill Tynan. An interesting piece of trivia was that the LibDem candidate came sixth behind a single-issue candidate whose platform was to sack the coach of the local Hamilton Academical football team! Labour's setback was probably just a result of mid term blues and voter grumpiness at an unnecessary byelection. The only race here next time will be the race to be first seat in Britain to declare a result. If my memory serves me right, Hamilton South was the second seat in the UK to declare in 1997, and the first in the 1999 Scottish elections.
05/05/01 DJ Freeland Email:
Hamilton South was the first seat in Scotland to declare in both 1997 and 1999. It will have to be quick to beat the Sunderland seats, though!

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Last Updated 7 May 2001
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