Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Hamilton North and Bellshill

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. John Reid
Conservative Party:
William Frain-Bell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Keith Legg
Scottish Nationalist Party:
Christopher Stephens
Scottish Socialist Party:
Shareen Blackall

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Dr John Reid

97 Result:
John Reid
24,32264.0%
Gordon McIntosh
3,94410.4%
Keith Legg
1,9245.1%
Michael Mathieson
725519.09%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,99970.88%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,42258.3%
6,11515.2%
2,7156.8%
7,93219.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
40,18476.1%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed15.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.6%
II - Managerial/Technical24.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)23.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.7%
IV - Partly Skilled17.1%
V - Unskilled6.5%

Misc:
Own Residence42.5%
Rent Residence57.5%
Submissions
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30/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
The scariest thing here is that Labour was lower and SNP was higher in this seat than in Hamilton South in either 1997 (Westminster) or 1999 (Holyrood). So, if one extrapolated from Hamilton South's by-election close call, this'd be headed for an SNP pickup. Uh, yeah, as if; don't get your bagpipes in a knot over a measly byelection...
30/05/01 Paul Richard Davis Email:pdavis1@vtown.com.au
Well, with just eight days to polling day, we still have 72 gaps to fill in. I assume that only boredom has prevented anybody saying that the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland will have a nice easy rest here from his troubled portfolio.

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Last Updated 30 May 2001
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