Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Knowsley North and Sefton East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
George E. Howarth
Conservative Party:
Richard J. Roberts
Liberal Democratic Party:
Keith Chapman

Incumbent:
George Howarth

97 Result:
George Howarth
34,74769.9%
Carl Doran
8,60017.3%
David Bamber
5,49911.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,70370.09%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
30,31654.4%
14,93026.8%
8,67015.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,72175.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.9%
16-2413.3%
25-3921.3%
40-6526.8%
65 <15.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.1%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time56.3%
Part Time15.2%
Self Employed7.1%
Government Schemes2.8%
Unemployed18.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.4%
II - Managerial/Technical23.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.3%
IV - Partly Skilled17.1%
V - Unskilled5.0%

Misc:
Own Residence64.0%
Rent Residence34.4%
Own Car(s)57.2%
Submissions
Submit Information here

19/04/01 JR Email: robertsat13@cwcom.net
This consists of two towns, Kirkby and Maghull. The former is a council-estate overspill town which is very deprived, the latter a middle-class 'dormitory suburb' which votes LibDem locally and probably leans Tory nationally. Northern Ireland Minister George Howarth will win a 20,000+ majority. However, the Labour majority should progressively fall at subsequent elections; Labour-dominated Kirkby is losing population while Maghull is growing.

Submit Information here
Back to North West Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 26 April 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster