Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bury South

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
115 BURY, South
Labour Party:
Ivan Lewis
Conservative Party:
Nicola Le Page
Liberal Democratic Party:
Timothy D. Pickstone

Incumbent:
Ivan Lewis

97 Result:
Ivan Lewis
28,65856.9%
David Sumberg
16,22532.2%
Victor D'Albert
4,2278.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,32675.60%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,19744.6%
24,92546.0%
4,8539.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,20481.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.6%
16-2412.0%
25-3922.6%
40-6526.3%
65 <18.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.9%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani1.4%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time64.0%
Part Time15.1%
Self Employed12.1%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed8.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.2%
II - Managerial/Technical31.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.2%
IV - Partly Skilled13.2%
V - Unskilled3.3%

Misc:
Own Residence74.5%
Rent Residence24.6%
Own Car(s)67.3%
Submissions
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01/06/01 JR Email:
Labour coasted to an easy victory last time in the traditionally ultra-marginal Bury South seat last time, and I expect them to do the same again on Thursday. Labour carried Bury South in the Euro elections (the results of which nationwide were equivalent to a Tory parliamentary majority of 55) and have a strong locally-rooted incumbent in former borough councillor Ivan Lewis.

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Last Updated 1 June 2001
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