Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Warley

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
John F. Spellar
Conservative Party:
Mark Pritchard
Liberal Democratic Party:
Ronald Cockings

Incumbent:
John Spellar

97 Result:
John Spellar
24,81363.8%
Christopher Pincher
9,36224.1%
Jeremy Pursehouse
3,7779.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
38,89365.08%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,74353.1%
15,33434.3%
5,11211.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,75071.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.3%
16-2413.6%
25-3920.8%
40-6524.0%
65 <20.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White76.8%
Black5.2%
Indian/Pakistani16.8%
Other non-white1.2%

Employment:
Full Time65.2%
Part Time13.3%
Self Employed6.4%
Government Schemes1.8%
Unemployed13.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.9%
II - Managerial/Technical18.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)35.6%
IV - Partly Skilled19.6%
V - Unskilled5.0%

Misc:
Own Residence60.2%
Rent Residence38.7%
Own Car(s)52.8%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
With 63% last time, there's no chance of Labour losing now.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
The deep, dank, declining (there were 2 Warley seats pre-97) innards of the Birmingham conurbation. Considering that Labour would have had a near-20% advantage here in 1992, Spellar's outrageously safe, as one'd expect.

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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