Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Sutton Coldfield

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Robert Pocock
Conservative Party:
Andrew J.B. Mitchell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Martin Turner
UK Independence Party:
Michael H. Nattrass

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Sir Norman Fowler

97 Result:
Alan York
12,48823.8%
Norman Fowler
27,37352.2%
Jim Whorwood
10,13919.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,40172.92%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
8,49015.0%
37,00165.2%
10,96519.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,78078.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.6%
16-2411.8%
25-3919.3%
40-6530.9%
65 <19.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.0%
Black0.7%
Indian/Pakistani1.5%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time65.1%
Part Time16.9%
Self Employed11.8%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed5.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional11.9%
II - Managerial/Technical44.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)17.8%
IV - Partly Skilled7.2%
V - Unskilled1.4%

Misc:
Own Residence84.3%
Rent Residence14.6%
Own Car(s)79.8%
Submissions
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25/04/01 DH Email:
Sutton Coldfield is one of the wealthiest seats in Britain and for the last 25 or so years it has been the home of Sir Norman Fowler - he is stepping down this time but that will not affect the result. The new incumbent will be in Parliament for as long as he or she wishes - this seat is bomb-proof for the Tories.
28/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
If Sutton Coldfield were in the environs of Manchester or Sheffield, it'd have morphed into a Tory-Lib Dem marginal by now. This is neither Manchester nor Sheffield, and LD was behind Labour in '97.

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Last Updated 28 May 2001
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