Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Nottingham South

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Alan J. Simpson
Conservative Party:
Wendy Manning
Liberal Democratic Party:
Kevin J. Mulloy

Incumbent:
Alan Simpson

97 Result:
Alan Simpson
26,82555.3%
Brian Kirsch
13,46127.7%
Gary Long
6,26512.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,52067.00%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,77147.7%
22,59041.8%
5,40810.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,03274.6%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.8%
16-2414.8%
25-3922.3%
40-6523.9%
65 <20.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White88.2%
Black4.3%
Indian/Pakistani5.6%
Other non-white1.9%

Employment:
Full Time63.0%
Part Time14.3%
Self Employed7.8%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed13.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.7%
II - Managerial/Technical25.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.0%
IV - Partly Skilled19.1%
V - Unskilled5.7%

Misc:
Own Residence55.1%
Rent Residence43.4%
Own Car(s)54.4%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
I'm a bit surprised that Labour didn't crack 60% here in '97. Regardless, they'll keep it now.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
More middle-class (relatively speaking) than the other two Nottingham constituencies, it also turfed its Tory incumbent in '92, but by a lesser margin. Now, however, it's almost precisely 2:1 Labour. A real case of stealing electors from the "rich" and giving them to the "poor" in Nottingham...

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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