Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Sutton and Cheam

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Lisa Homan
Conservative Party:
Lady Olga H. Maitland
Liberal Democratic Party:
Paul K. Burstow
UK Independence Party:
Simon P. McKie

Incumbent:
Paul Burstow

97 Result:
Mark Allison
7,28015.5%
Olga Maitland
17,82237.8%
Paul Burstow
19,91942.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,09275.01%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
4,9809.9%
27,71055.2%
16,95433.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,22182.3%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.6%
16-2412.2%
25-3924.4%
40-6526.6%
65 <19.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White93.8%
Black1.0%
Indian/Pakistani2.5%
Other non-white2.7%

Employment:
Full Time68.2%
Part Time13.0%
Self Employed12.4%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed5.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.5%
II - Managerial/Technical38.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)19.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.1%
IV - Partly Skilled6.6%
V - Unskilled2.2%

Misc:
Own Residence82.0%
Rent Residence16.9%
Own Car(s)75.4%
Submissions
Submit Information here

19/04/01 NG Email:
Paul Burstow probably has a reasonably good chance of holding Sutton and Cheam. He has been a very attentive local MP and locally the Lib Dems are pretty strong. The Labour vote is quite weak here and can probably be squeezed a little more, sheltering Burstow from a small Tory revival.
30/05/01 KF Email:
Unfortunately this seat will stay with the Lib Dems. The Tories have slit their own throats by re-selecting Lady Olga Maitland, who is massively out of touch and unpopular.
30/05/01 JI Email:jonathan.isaby.01@bbc.co.uk
Nominations have now closed and there is no UK Independence Party candidate. Given that Maitland only lost by just over 2,000 votes last time, with the anti EU Referendum Party winning 1,900 votes, there is a very high chance that she will be able to tap into that vote in order to gain the seat.
03/06/01 R Stokoe Email:
It looks as though Mr Burstow will win again. His hard work has been recognised by many local people over the last 4 years and should stand him in good stead. The Tory vote is split with the choice of Lady Olga Maitland and her extreme right wing views and her out of touch ideas which has dramatically reduced her grass roots support among Tories. It also appears that many Labour voters will tactically vote to keep Lady Olga out of office.

Submit Information here
Back to London Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 7 June 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster