Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Poplar and Canning Town

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
James (Jim) Fitzpatrick
Conservative Party:
Robert Marr
Liberal Democratic Party:
Alexi E. Sugden

Incumbent:
Jim Fitzpatrick

97 Result:
Jim Fitzpatrick
24,80763.2%
Bene't Steinberg
5,89215.0%
Janet Ludlow
4,07210.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,26858.46%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,93551.2%
10,51725.7%
7,98619.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
40,85565.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1625.3%
16-2413.8%
25-3925.2%
40-6521.3%
65 <14.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White72.2%
Black10.5%
Indian/Pakistani13.0%
Other non-white4.4%

Employment:
Full Time59.7%
Part Time9.1%
Self Employed7.6%
Government Schemes1.8%
Unemployed21.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.4%
II - Managerial/Technical22.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.6%
IV - Partly Skilled19.1%
V - Unskilled7.9%

Misc:
Own Residence25.2%
Rent Residence72.9%
Own Car(s)41.2%
Submissions
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13/05/01 JR Email:
A traditional Labour stronghold at the heart of the East End which former firefighter Jim Fitzpatrick should hold without any trouble. Nevertheless it will be interesting to see how much support the tiny far-right British National Party can muster in this multiracial area - last time they saved their deposit with about 8% of the poll, and actually elected a local councillor here on the Isle of Dogs in a 1993 byelection for Tower Hamlets Council. With asylum and immigration issues at the forefront the BNP could well push their vote higher.

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Last Updated 14 MAy 2001
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