Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bromley and Chislehurst

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Susan (Sue) A. Polydorou
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. M. Eric Forth
Liberal Democratic Party:
Geoffrey Payne
UK Independence Party:
Robert M. Bryant

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Eric Forth

97 Result:
Rob Yeldham
13,31025.2%
Eric Forth
24,42846.3%
Paul Booth
12,53023.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,73874.17%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
10,02717.2%
36,02862.0%
10,37017.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,15079.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.2%
16-2411.8%
25-3920.7%
40-6528.8%
65 <21.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.5%
Black1.1%
Indian/Pakistani1.5%
Other non-white1.9%

Employment:
Full Time64.9%
Part Time13.5%
Self Employed13.8%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed7.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.5%
II - Managerial/Technical42.8%
III - Skilled (non-manual)19.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)18.2%
IV - Partly Skilled6.6%
V - Unskilled2.8%

Misc:
Own Residence78.0%
Rent Residence20.6%
Own Car(s)73.8%
Submissions
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22/04/01 Daily Telegraph A false start to the race
In a briefing to journalists, the CRE said it had circulated copies of the agreement for individual MPs to sign. Less than a third of Tories had done so, compared with 60 per cent of Labour MPs. Only three MPs, all Conservatives, had refused to sign on principle: they were James Cran, a whip, Eric Forth, a maverick Right-winger, and John Townend, the retiring MP who caused a storm by claiming that immigrants were undermining Britian's "homogeneous Anglo-Saxon society".
02/05/01 DH Email:
Eric Forth is in danger of becoming a cult figure in the Commons, if not the nation at large what with his ruthless chopping down of Private Members Bills, and the CRE race furore. What he is not in danger of is losing this seat, which in 1997 was a merger of the old Chislehurst and Ravensbourne seats (both safely Tory). I predict an increase in his already rock solid majority.
17/05/01 DC Email:
Eric Forth has proven to be a good constituency MP in what is one of only a few true blue Tory seats in Greater London. He should have no difficulties in being re-elected, probably with an even bigger majority.

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Last Updated 4 June 2001
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