Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Brent North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Barry S. Gardiner
Conservative Party:
Philip D. Allott
Liberal Democratic Party:
Paul Lorber

Incumbent:
Barry Gardiner

97 Result:
Barry Gardiner
19,34350.7%
Rhodes Boyson
15,32440.1%
Paul Lorber
3,1048.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
38,17470.50%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
11,43030.3%
21,66057.4%
3,99910.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,71368.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.3%
16-2413.7%
25-3923.0%
40-6526.4%
65 <16.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White58.5%
Black6.7%
Indian/Pakistani26.0%
Other non-white8.8%

Employment:
Full Time62.6%
Part Time10.6%
Self Employed16.7%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed9.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.1%
II - Managerial/Technical35.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.2%
IV - Partly Skilled8.5%
V - Unskilled2.1%

Misc:
Own Residence76.9%
Rent Residence21.7%
Own Car(s)72.8%
Submissions
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20/04/01 NG Email:
With a massive swing to Labour in 1997, Brent North broke records as well as Tory hearts. Since then, Labour has seen biggish swings to it in local elections and it even led in the 1999 Euro elections. Without Rhodes Boysons personal vote, the Tories would be extremely lucky to win Brent North this time.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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