Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Luton South

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Margaret Moran
Conservative Party:
Gordon Henderson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Rabinder Martins
Green Party:
Marc Scheimann
UK Independence Party:
Charles S. Lawman
Socialist Alliance:
Joseph Hearne

Incumbent:
Ms Margaret Moran

97 Result:
Margaret Moran
26,42854.8%
Graham Bright
15,10931.4%
Keith Fitchett
4,6109.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,18470.45%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
22,39643.2%
22,92844.3%
5,79511.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,79578.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1623.7%
16-2413.8%
25-3925.4%
40-6522.8%
65 <14.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White79.1%
Black3.8%
Indian/Pakistani15.4%
Other non-white1.7%

Employment:
Full Time66.9%
Part Time11.3%
Self Employed9.4%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed11.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.0%
II - Managerial/Technical24.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.0%
IV - Partly Skilled18.3%
V - Unskilled4.1%

Misc:
Own Residence72.2%
Rent Residence26.8%
Own Car(s)65.6%
Submissions
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10/05/01 J Smith Email:
Labour barely lost in 1992 and won by a large number of votes in 1997. They should have no trouble holding this seat, based on latest popularity polling numbers. Labour hold in Luton South.

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Last Updated 11 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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